GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bodo/Glimt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ham-Kam 0-2 Bodo/Glimt

Original prediction

Bodo/Glimt

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home10.069.3%6.9%-2.4 pts
Draw6.4814.4%11.0%-3.4 pts
Away1.2276.4%82.2%5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–310%
  2. 2.1–39%
  3. 3.0–49%

Predicted outcome

Bodo/Glimt

Probability

82.2%

Model confidence

82.2%

Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ham-KamWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bodo/GlimtWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ham-KamBodo/Glimt
50.0Attack84.8
30.3Defence69.7
39.4Form80.3
41.3Power76.4
0.89xG3.53
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