Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Halmstad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Olympic are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympic hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (19.6 v 33.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olympic
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
8.7%
Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20