Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalmar FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Halmstad 1-0 Kalmar FF
Original prediction
Kalmar FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 27.6% | 23.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.1% | 25.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.3% | 50.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Kalmar FF
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Kalmar FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HalmstadWDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kalmar FFDWLLD
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HalmstadKalmar FF
22.2Attack38.9
35.2Defence48.1
14.8Form35.2
27.6Power42.6
0.86xG1.45