Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalmar FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Halmstad are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kalmar FF are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalmar FF hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (26.6 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Allsvenskan, while Kalmar FF holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalmar FF
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
12.4%
Kalmar FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80