Halmstadvs
AIK Stockholm
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AIK Stockholm · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Halmstad 2-1 AIK Stockholm
Original prediction
AIK Stockholm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 27.3% | 19.7% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.2% | 22.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 47.5% | 57.6% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
AIK Stockholm
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
AIK Stockholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40