GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hallescher FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SpVgg Greuther Fürth hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the DFB Pokal, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hallescher FCWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SpVgg Greuther FürthLWDLW

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Hallescher FCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power53.0
1.60xG1.66
View match centre →