GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/4/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hallescher FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hallescher FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rot-Weiß Essen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hallescher FC hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the 3. Liga, while Hallescher FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hallescher FC

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Hallescher FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hallescher FCWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-Weiß EssenWLWWW

GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hallescher FCRot-Weiß Essen
43.9Attack66.7
40.4Defence0.0
35.1Form0.0
42.0Power23.7
1.71xG1.68
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