Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hallam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hallam are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Mossley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mossley hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the FA Trophy, while Hallam holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hallam
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
11.7%
Hallam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00