Halkanorasvs
Spartakos Kitiou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartakos Kitiou · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Halkanoras 2-1 Spartakos Kitiou
Original prediction
Spartakos Kitiou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.5% | 33.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.6% | 37.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Spartakos Kitiou
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Spartakos Kitiou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40