Halesowen Townvs
Leamington
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Halesowen Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Halesowen Town 3-2 Leamington
Original prediction
Halesowen Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.7% | 47.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.0% | 25.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.2% | 26.7% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Halesowen Town
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Halesowen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80