Halesowen Townvs
Hitchin Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Halesowen Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Halesowen Town 1-0 Hitchin Town, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Halesowen Town 2-1 Hitchin Town
Original prediction
Halesowen Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.2% | 58.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.7% | 24.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.1% | 17.0% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Halesowen Town 1–0 Hitchin Town
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Halesowen Town
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Halesowen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60