Halcones Negrosvs
Calor de San Pedro
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Halcones Negros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Halcones Negros 7-0 Calor de San Pedro
Original prediction
Halcones Negros
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.7% | 42.0% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.4% | 27.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.9% | 30.7% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Halcones Negros
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Halcones Negros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20