Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
haka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.5 against 65.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20