Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
14%
MediumconfidenceHaka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while MP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 18.8-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Ykkösliiga, favouring Haka with 14.4% confidence, a 42% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
14.4%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HakaWWWDW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MPLWDLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HakaMP
66.7Attack35.2
64.8Defence55.6
63.0Form38.9
64.6Power45.9
2.03xG0.65