Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haka 2-0 Klubi-04
Original prediction
Haka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.1% | 67.2% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 20.9% | 18.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 5.05 | 17.9% | 14.0% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HakaDLLWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Klubi-04LDWWD
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HakaKlubi-04
62.3Attack40.6
62.3Defence50.7
59.4Form29.0
61.5Power41.6
2.12xG0.79