Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Haka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20