Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Haka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40