Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
haka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and haka hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while haka holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
haka
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
15.4%
haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40