Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceHaka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and haka hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ykkösliiga, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
14.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HakaWWDWL
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
JIPPOWDWWD
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HakaJIPPO
66.7Attack44.4
64.8Defence72.2
63.0Form57.4
64.6Power59.4
1.22xG0.85