Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Haka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60