Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Najma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hajer 0-0 Al Najma, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hajer 2-4 Al Najma
Original prediction
Al Najma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.98 | 18.3% | 25.2% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 28.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 56.3% | 46.4% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Hajer 0–0 Al Najma
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Najma
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Al Najma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HajerDLDDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al NajmaWDDDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HajerAl Najma
22.2Attack47.6
61.1Defence66.7
33.3Form47.6
41.7Power55.3
0.79xG1.14