Hajervs
Al Jabalain
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Jabalain · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hajer 0-1 Al Jabalain
Original prediction
Al Jabalain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 24.1% | 33.7% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 29.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.5% | 37.2% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Al Jabalain
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Al Jabalain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40