Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hajer · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hajer 1-1 Al Anwar
Original prediction
Hajer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.1% | 37.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.9% | 34.0% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hajer
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Hajer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HajerWLWLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al AnwarLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HajerAl Anwar
50.0Attack0.0
16.7Defence83.3
50.0Form16.7
42.7Power36.5
1.30xG1.14