Haitivs
Trinidad and Tobago
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/25/2026, 12:20:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haiti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Haiti 0-0 Trinidad and Tobago, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Haiti 3-2 Trinidad and Tobago
Original prediction
Haiti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 59.7% | 41.1% | -18.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.5% | 31.3% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 5.47 | 16.8% | 27.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.6 pts
Projected Score
Haiti 0–0 Trinidad and Tobago
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Haiti
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Haiti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HaitiLWDLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Trinidad and TobagoLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 16 · avg 0.00/3.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
HaitiTrinidad and Tobago
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64