World Cup
Haiti
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Scotland leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Haiti head into this in World Cup fixture at Gillette Stadium going through a difficult run (LLLLL), while Scotland arrive in mixed form (LLW). Haiti have a 0% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 33% for Scotland over 3 games.
The model rates Haiti's attack at 21/100 against a 53/100 Scotland defence, and Scotland's attack at 14/100 against a 21/100 Haiti backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Haiti have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Scotland have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.
Haiti have generated 0.21 xG per game recently while conceding 1.19 xG per match. Scotland have generated 0.71 xG per game recently while conceding 2.68 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Scotland have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Scotland to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Haiti 3119%, Draw 2457%, Scotland 4424%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
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Haiti
Scotland
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Haiti vs Scotland?
GoalVio's model predicts Scotland to win with 44% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Scotland?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Haiti vs Scotland?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Haiti vs Scotland?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.