Hai Phongvs
Than Quang Ninh
COMPLETEDVietnam · Cup · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hai Phong · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hai Phong 0-1 Than Quang Ninh
Original prediction
Hai Phong
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 74.4% | 46.7% | -27.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.27 | 17.1% | 26.0% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 10.65 | 8.5% | 27.4% | 18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Hai Phong
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Hai Phong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60