Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hadamar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kassel 2 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hadamar hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25