Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Hadamar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hadamar hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00