Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hadamar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60