Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hadamar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hadamar hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20