Habay-la-Neuvevs
Standard Liège II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liège II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Habay-la-Neuve 0-0 Standard Liège II
Original prediction
Standard Liège II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.7% | 35.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 27.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.9% | 38.0% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liège II
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Standard Liège II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60