GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Meux · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Habay-la-Neuve 1-0 Meux

Original prediction

Meux

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3138.8%27.6%-11.3 pts
Draw3.2327.8%27.0%-0.8 pts
Away2.6833.4%45.5%12.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–114%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–211%

Predicted outcome

Meux

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Meux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Habay-la-NeuveLDLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MeuxWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Habay-la-NeuveMeux
27.8Attack50.0
50.0Defence77.8
27.8Form72.2
38.3Power68.4
0.81xG1.53
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