GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Habay-la-Neuve · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Habay-la-Neuve 2-1 Flénu

Original prediction

Habay-la-Neuve

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7850.1%44.8%-5.3 pts
Draw3.4426.0%25.5%-0.5 pts
Away3.7324.0%29.7%5.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Habay-la-Neuve

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Habay-la-Neuve has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Habay-la-NeuveDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FlénuLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Habay-la-NeuveFlénu
25.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence8.3
8.3Form8.3
26.3Power21.2
1.73xG1.36
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