Ha Noivs
Song Lam Nghe An
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 9/12/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ha Noi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ha Noi 1-4 Song Lam Nghe An
Original prediction
Ha Noi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.4% | 40.2% | -26.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.2% | 26.4% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 7.30 | 12.4% | 33.4% | 20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Ha Noi
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Ha Noi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ha NoiLDLWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Song Lam Nghe AnWLLWL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ha NoiSong Lam Nghe An
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power80.3
1.16xG1.49