Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ha Noi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ha Noi 1-1 Da Nang
Original prediction
Ha Noi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 50.9% | 39.1% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.6% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.5% | 33.8% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ha Noi
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Ha Noi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ha NoiLLDLW
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Da NangWLWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ha NoiDa Nang
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.36xG1.43