H2O Purepechasvs
Lobos ULMX
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
H2O Purepechas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
H2O Purepechas 2-0 Lobos ULMX
Original prediction
H2O Purepechas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 38.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 28.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.0% | 33.1% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
H2O Purepechas
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
H2O Purepechas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80