Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Göztepe

Göztepe

Home
WW
11
Full time
Rudes

Rudes

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Rudes33%
Göztepe33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Göztepe
33%
Draw
33%
Rudes
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Göztepe
73
Rudes
73
Defence
Göztepe
91
Rudes
6
Momentum
Göztepe
100
Rudes
0
Danger (xG)
Göztepe
1.80
Rudes
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.58 xG for Göztepe and 1.02 xG for Rudes — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Rudes holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.60 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Göztepe)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Rudes)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Göztepe)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Rudes)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GöztepeGöztepe
WWL
RudesRudes
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Göztepe33%
Draw33%
Rudes33%

Rudes leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Göztepe vs Rudes: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Göztepe take on Rudes in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.58 for Göztepe and 1.02 for Rudes. The gap of 0.56 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Göztepe have been conceding 1.98 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Göztepe

Göztepe

W
@ LNZ Cherkasy
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ HNK Gorica
13 Jul 2026
20
L
@ Samsunspor
16 May 2026
03
Rudes

Rudes

L
vs HNK Cibalia
15 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Göztepe vs Rudes?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Göztepe vs Rudes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Göztepe vs Rudes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Göztepe vs Rudes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more