Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rizespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Göztepe 2-2 Rizespor
Original prediction
Rizespor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 36.1% | 32.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.5% | 26.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 36.5% | 41.9% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Rizespor
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Rizespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GöztepeDLLLD
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RizesporWLWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GöztepeRizespor
60.0Attack33.3
13.3Defence73.3
13.3Form60.0
32.2Power57.7
1.21xG1.58