Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Çorum FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Göztepe 2-0 Çorum FK
Original prediction
Çorum FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.6% | 37.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.2% | 21.4% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 30.1% | 41.0% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Çorum FK
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Çorum FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GöztepeWWDDL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Çorum FKWWLWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GöztepeÇorum FK
70.8Attack75.0
33.3Defence45.8
37.5Form54.2
47.7Power56.9
2.20xG2.49