Gzira Unitedvs
Zabbar St. Patrick
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zabbar St. Patrick · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gzira United 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick
Original prediction
Zabbar St. Patrick
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.0% | 31.0% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.0% | 26.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.0% | 42.1% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Zabbar St. Patrick
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Zabbar St. Patrick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40