Gzira Unitedvs
Birzebbuga
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gzira United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gzira United 2-2 Birzebbuga
Original prediction
Gzira United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.6% | 37.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 28.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.8% | 34.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Gzira United
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Gzira United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60