Güzide Gebzesporvs
Somaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Güzide Gebzespor · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Güzide Gebzespor 4-1 Somaspor
Original prediction
Güzide Gebzespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.7% | 53.5% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.9% | 25.1% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 6.75 | 13.3% | 21.5% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Güzide Gebzespor
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Güzide Gebzespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00