Güzide Gebzesporvs
Elazığspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elazığspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Güzide Gebzespor 0-0 Elazığspor
Original prediction
Elazığspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.89 | 18.4% | 30.8% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 26.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.7% | 43.2% | -14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Elazığspor
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Elazığspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40