Güzide Gebzesporvs
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Güzide Gebzespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Güzide Gebzespor 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Original prediction
Güzide Gebzespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.4% | 53.7% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.5% | 24.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 8.18 | 11.1% | 21.9% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Güzide Gebzespor
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Güzide Gebzespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20