Gyulai Termálvs
Újpest II
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Southeast · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyulai Termál · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gyulai Termál 2-1 Újpest II
Original prediction
Gyulai Termál
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.0% | 66.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.3% | 17.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.72 | 15.7% | 16.2% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Gyulai Termál
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Gyulai Termál has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60