GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 9/3/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gyori ETO FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gyori ETO FC 0-3 Ferencvarosi TC

Original prediction

Gyori ETO FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.2221.8%44.6%22.9 pts
Draw3.8523.9%24.4%0.5 pts
Away1.6954.3%30.9%-23.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

22.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Gyori ETO FC

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Gyori ETO FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gyori ETO FCDWDDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ferencvarosi TCWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gyori ETO FCFerencvarosi TC
73.3Attack41.7
73.3Defence58.3
60.0Form58.3
67.2Power55.9
1.91xG0.97
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