GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB II · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gyirmot SE · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gyirmot SE 2-0 Karcag SE

Original prediction

Gyirmot SE

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7750.8%47.0%-3.8 pts
Draw3.4526.1%27.0%0.9 pts
Away3.9123.1%25.9%2.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Gyirmot SE

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Gyirmot SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gyirmot SELLWDW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Karcag SEWWDDD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Gyirmot SEKarcag SE
77.8Attack33.3
55.6Defence66.7
77.8Form33.3
72.8Power48.3
1.63xG0.97
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