Gyirmot SEvs
Budapest Honved
COMPLETEDHungary · Magyar Kupa · 10/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Budapest Honved · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gyirmot SE 3-1 Budapest Honved
Original prediction
Budapest Honved
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.9% | 35.4% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 25.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.4% | 38.8% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Budapest Honved
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Budapest Honved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20