Gyeongnam FCvs
Paju Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 8/29/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongnam FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gyeongnam FC 0-0 Paju Citizen, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gyeongnam FC 1-0 Paju Citizen
Original prediction
Gyeongnam FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.7% | 44.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 28.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.0% | 27.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Gyeongnam FC 0–0 Paju Citizen
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongnam FC
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Gyeongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40