Gyeongnam FCvs
Asan Mugunghwa
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/17/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongnam FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gyeongnam FC 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa
Original prediction
Gyeongnam FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.8% | 36.2% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.0% | 28.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.3% | 35.4% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongnam FC
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Gyeongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20