Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon FMC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gyeongju are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Suwon FMC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suwon FMC hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 77.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the WK-League, while Suwon FMC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suwon FMC
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
12.1%
Suwon FMC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20